There’s a lot of talk about WW3 and how it would or would not impact America. This is my own analysis of what I think is coming and I’m not saying you should or should not believe anything I say. Come to your own opinion. I will tell you how I think things will shake out then tell you why. This will be part one and will only talk about civil war. Tomorrow I’ll go into world war.
Firs things first – I think WW3 will either lead to or be precipitated by an American civil war. I think the American civil war will be multi-polar, meaning it will not be two sides. There will be many sides. I think the main sides will break down as follows.
Patriot/MAGA/ American Nationalists groups – Mostly working class or business owners, some ex-veterans. The massive influx of Black, Latino and LGB groups into this portion of the right will ensure that white ethno-nationalist groups will be hostile to this group.
Bureaucratic right – For lack of a better turn this would be the professional right. Large parts of the GOP, some state governments, portions of law enforcement etc. They will be separate from and in many cases hostile to first group.
Bureaucratic left – Like the bureaucratic right but better organized and more likely to be able to work with other leftist groups. Includes not only the major leftist parties but some state run media, most big tech etc.
Ethno-nationalist groups – There are actually ethno-nationalism groups for every ethnicity. The important thing to remember here is that Aryan Brotherhood is allied with the Mexican Mafia through treaties formed in the prison system. In full scale societal breakdown those alliances – mostly against African Americans – will remain intact in some areas. What remains of the Ku Klux Klan hates neo-nazis and vice versa. The Southwest has radical “Reconquista” groups that target Black and White Americans. All of these groups are actually very small however and many don’t have the logistics to do much of anything.
Urban liberals – this is it’s own class. I use it here for politically active liberals from cities but they differ from other leftists in that their politics is based on the idea that the city they live in can be turned into a utopia and that the surrounding areas or certain people are stopping that from happening. You see this with their “green” policies that attack farmers and ranchers. Radical groups like Antifa fit this. Other leftists aren’t a factor in the coming civil war, they will be victims.
Criminal gangs – Most gangs have the logistical and supply chain infrastructure to take and hold areas of a city.
There are people you know (or maybe even you) who don’t fit into any of these groups. Small pockets of non-allied people may crop up but they will be targeted for resources, or just out of sheer evil.
So here’s what I think will happen.
By mid summer we will see how severe supply chain disruptions have become and we will see more situations like the baby formula shortages. This will exacerbate tensions. There is also a good chance there won’t be enough gas or diesel to keep out supply chain functioning.
As mid-terms approach in fighting in the right will become severe enough to cause a lot of anger and ill will among the first two groups. The bureaucratic right will be seen as being “in cahoots” with the left. That is something that’s already strongly believed by Patriot groups. The media will also be ramping up the rhetoric which will make matter worse. The left is calling for the arrests of Fox News talking heads now, by summer there will be violence.
Then in the fall, if there is still no war, the world will see how little food was grown and the real grab for resources starts. Either then or before then I believe that the major social media platforms will put out a call to the most radical activists to kill “ultra MAGA” or some other scapegoat group. If we aren’t already at war with Russia they will say some target is foreign agents. One reason they’ll do this because they are losing their power. But that’s another issue. The real reason will be to stop you from realizing that they knew a famine was incoming and never told you but did prepare themselves.
The CHAZ incident and the BLM riots were test runs for whether big tech and parts the media can quickly get people out on the streets to accomplish complex goals. And they’ve proven they can.
The next civil war will start with multi-city rioting that will shut down what is left of the supply chain. The riots and perhaps the wars will be blamed for food shortages. The food shortages incoming will have normal people out on the streets as it is and if people are actually calling for an end to free speech the right will be marching too.
And that’s where it will start. There will be a protest/counter protest in a city where people are already panicking over shortages. The left and right will start fighting the way they did a few years ago. In this confrontation Antifa in some cities will also be fighting other people they antagonized:
Like the CHAZ the point of the rioting for the urban liberal side will be to besiege police stations long enough for the police to have to abandon them. In some cities this may go unchallenged but in others the supporters of the bureaucratic right will get involved to “back the blue” especially if there are also ongoing attacks on civilians.
Eventually as all sides see that a) the riots aren’t going to stop and b) no one is getting food the powder keg explodes. The bureaucratic left and right will throw the rioters under the bus and tell everyone through the media they are why their hungry. Antifa uniforms and patriot gear will be targets for normal, hungry, angry people. Violence will be off the charts.
The bureaucratic state will defend cities and their interest. But resources will not be going out to rural people, etc and law enforcement will begin to be concentrated in cities to try to retain control over infrastructure.
They won’t be able to however. Refugees from cities will descend on the surrounding areas like locust looking for both safety and food. Suburbs will either be sacked will fortify to repel people, which will be reported in the news as racist/terror attacks to stoke more violence. The overwhelmed government will have to send scarce resources to the suburbs.
The MAGA/Patriot groups will try to organize protests. These will be attacked. Eventually they will start organizing community defense. Those community defense groups will be driven to sweep and clear their areas of what they perceive as terror cells.
Race based violence will become daily occurrences, driving tribalism and more conflict. Ironically for the left it will be the “far right” that will be most diverse. Black and Latino ethno-nationalist groups will side with urban liberals when convenient but will be busy fighting each other and their perceived racial enemies. This will include White liberals.
Criminal gangs will step into vacuums left by overwhelmed police and the more police that are overwhelmed and pushed from areas the more emboldened other groups will be to do the same thing. If food is scarce there will also be attrition of police as they simply have no motive to stay at their jobs if they can’t find food with the money they’re earning. Once two or three CHAZ type zones are active people will begin forming militias for protection.
At a certain point the urban left will fracture when they push police out. The various factions will all blame each other for the problems the riots caused and will all blame the others for why their solutions to build their new society isn’t working. This is what happened in the CHAZ zone.
As all this is going on what you’re going to see is that, slowly then all at once, cities will devolve into Balkans like battlefields. Your neighbors will either band together or flee.
So on that cheery thought here’s what I’m doing to prepare:
Stocking food and seeds.
Checking my self defense preps and filing in gaps. As a old timey bushcrafty survivalist I’m a shotgun guy. As an old guy with bad knees I know I’m not going to join a fighting militia but more likely neighborhood watch. So I’m ranging and walking my local area to see if I need other guns.
Bugout planning – which isn’t putting together a bag to walk to some mythical place. I have multiple destinations in mind and plans to get their including the last resort which is the woods.
Staying on good terms with neighbors. Your immediate neighbors will be the people standing next to you during riots.
Last minute equipment. My knees used to work fine with some compression sleeves. They’ve gotten much worse in the last two weeks so I’m buying different sleeves with supports. I’m getting to old to reliable aim with a tiny bead so I got Tru-glo sights for my shotguns. You know better than me what you’ll need.
Training. Practice your martial arts, your holster draw etc. Work out. I’m spending every extra minute stretching, dry firing or working out.
Purchases you need. I just got a new phone today. I got new sneakers. Do this now while it’s still possible you’ll get the stuff.
Good luck out there.
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Author Rob Taylor
